Overview
The Canada’s Food Price Report 2026 is the 16th annual forecast of food price trends in Canada produced by the Agri-Food Analytics Lab at Dalhousie University in partnership with several Canadian universities. The 2026 report forecasts that overall food prices will rise by 4%–6%, continuing upward trends driven by economic, climatic, and supply chain factors. Canadian households, on average, are expected to spend approximately $17,571.79 on food in 2026, which is up to $994.63 more than in the previous year. Despite some moderating inflation forces such as interest rate cuts, pressures including trade disputes, labour challenges, and volatile weather are likely to keep food affordability a major concern. The report also breaks down regional variations in food price changes and highlights implications for food security and household economics.
Key findings
• Overall food prices predicted to increase 4%–6% in 2026
• Average family of four expected to spend ~$17,571.79 on food, an increase of ~$994.63 from 2025
• Food prices are ~27% higher than five years ago
• Regional variability in price changes with some provinces forecast to see above-average increases
• Key drivers include trade disputes, labour policy, climate disruptions, and production/retail shifts
Policy considerations
– Monitor food price trends to inform income and subsidy policies
– Develop strategies to maintain affordability for vulnerable populations
– Support programs addressing cost barriers to healthy food
Program considerations
– Use price forecasts to plan community food programs and budgeting
– Integrate affordability data into food security monitoring
– Support nutrition programs that address anticipated price increases
– Advocate for structural solutions to prevent food insecurity
Target population
General population
Intended audience
Policy Makers, Researchers, Health Care Providers, Community Organizations, Educators
Geographic focus
Canada
Evidence type
Quantitative
Source type
Evaluation report
Language
English
Reference
Agri-Food Analytics Lab, Dalhousie University et al. (2025). Canada’s Food Price Report 2026. Dalhousie University
